Product Development
Risk Aversion
We don’t like uncertainty and generally stick to what we know
11k people were offered a new job that had a 50% chance of doubling income for life, but it wasn't without risk, with an equal chance of it falling by either 20, 33 or 50%. Questioning started with the 33% gamble; if people took it, they were asked if they’d take the bigger 50% gamble too. But if they didn’t, they were asked about the smaller 20% one.
Results put people into four risk categories showing the majority were not willing to take any risk at all.
Focus on an improvement metric.
We prefer the certainty of what we’re used to, so the benefits of switching to a new product need to feel substantial.
Outline a goal (relative performance, efficiency etc.) to anchor your product strategy around.
Doing so will reduce uncertainty and boost comparisons against better-known, lower risk alternatives.
Offer a trial or free sample...
...to create familiarity and reduce the risk around a new product.
This sets the cost of new product usage at zero, during which the consumer will adjust their future preferences.
Utilize your brand umbrella.
For any new sub-brands, reduce risk by clearly indicating the relationship to existing, familiar brands you own (Erdem, 1998).
Product brands take note. Risk aversion is higher for material purchases than for experiential ones such as restaurant meals or holidays (Roche et al., 2015).
Loyalty
Status
We constantly look for ways to improve how others see us
150 students completed a simple task and were split into two groups and given either positive or negative feedback on their performance. They were then shown either a one-off print or a mass-produced one and asked how much they’d pay for it.
Those given negative feedback were willing to pay almost 4x more on average for the unique print than those with positive feedback, showing how we use consumption to heal our sense of status.
There are multiple ways to elevate brand status:
Form strategic alliances with successful others with whom you share compatible goals (Thorndike, 1920), e.g. Go-Pro and Red Bull.
Develop your core purpose to raise your products’ perceived value (Chernev & Blair, 2015), e.g. Patagonia who “use business to inspire and implement solutions to the environmental crisis.”
Create and control new ways of promoting industry excellence. Dribbble, a platform for design teams to show off their work provides paid-for "Pro Business" status badges to distinguish the best from the rest.
Invest in a tiered loyalty scheme to elevate consumers’ status & brand attachment (Nunes & Dréze, 2006), e.g. British Airways Executive Club.
Experience
Peak-End Rule
We remember an experience by its peaks and how it ended
682 colonoscopy patients were split into two groups, with one undergoing a longer procedure but with a period of less discomfort added on at the end.
After, patients were asked to recall the total pain felt. The peak-end group reported 10% less pain and a 10% increase in attending a follow-up procedure.
How do you want to be remembered in customers’ eyes?
How do you want to leave them feeling? What little touches can you add to your product or service to leave customers feeling amazing and want to share with their network?
Create a Customer Journey Map
Identify positive experiential opportunities to exploit and painful weaknesses to remedy.
Some pains may be small or cheap to fix, yet play a big part in a person’s memory.
Negative experiences are a hidden opportunity...
...to re-establish a positive peak and / or end. Things will go wrong, whoever’s at fault, so allow flexibility and an authentic humanity to surface, not just to save the relationship but to allow the brand to shine.
Handle a problem well enough and that’s what customers will remember, not the problem itself.
Conversion
Dynamic Norms
We’re more likely to change if we can see a new behavior developing
23,946 cafe hot drink sales were studied over 14 weeks. For the last 4 weeks, customers were shown a sign stating that “guests are changing their behavior and more and more are switching from the to-go cup to a sustainable alternative. Take part in this: choose a sustainable cup and help to protect the environment.”
Results showed that customers used 17.3% more reusable mugs over to-go cups after dynamic nudging.
Drive change by showing relative growth.
New behaviors tend to start small, so stating absolute percentages isn’t persuasive. Instead, reframe the change as a dynamic movement increasing over time to create a means to 'pre-conform' with this inevitable future (Sparkman & Walton, 2017).
Bolster with the 25% Rule...
...where new behaviors tend to become the norm once at least a quarter of a group adopt them. Boost change success by recruiting a group of change-makers to create, broadcast and maintain this initial effort.
Combine existing financial nudges with dynamic norms.
The cafe in the study was already charging €0.10 for a takeaway cup but they were able to improve behavior even further with this cheap, efficient and new nudging method...and so can you.
Conversion
Foot In The Door
Making a small commitment now makes us more likely to agree to a greater one later
88 household individuals were split into three groups and asked to either wear a badge supporting a charity, asked to wear one along with another family member or not to wear at all. That same evening, all groups were then asked for a financial donation to the charity.
Those who were first asked the small request were far more likely to go on and donate money than those who weren’t.
Start with a question promoting reflection on one’s values. Their answers will create a desire to be consistent with their beliefs.
Have people perform a small related action. e.g. People who put a small “Drive carefully” sign in their window are more likely to follow the instruction than those who merely say they will. Frame it as a social norm.
Prime the ‘helpful’, ‘cooperative’ ‘supporter’ with positive feedback prior to a future request.
Make the target request a continuation of the initial one. The more similar the activity, the greater success. Also balance your request sizes. If the initial request is too big, people won’t do it, never getting to the target request. But too-small tasks will widen the gulf between the two.
Product Development
Analysis Paralysis
Our capacity to process information and make decisions reduces with each made
42 people were either asked to make 35 'A or B' choices that would inform the design of an educational course they were attending, or instead to just read the course material. Both were then tasked with solving math puzzles and were timed until they gave up.
Those who had to make the choices beforehand persisted for less time on the puzzles and also got fewer right.
Protect your decision capacity.
Prioritize your day around and take breaks before making harder decisions. For example, restaurant inspectors can reduce errors by scrutinizing sites at higher risk of failure at the start of the day (Ibanez & Toffel, 2017).
Create product contrast.
When no option in a set offers a distinct advantage from the others, we're most at risk of not choosing at all (Dhar, 1997). How can you improve your choice architecture to offer variety that actually makes deciding easier?
Order matters for revenue.
Prospective Audi owners given a high number of customization options early on more readily accepted, higher-priced defaults in later steps (Levav, 2010). Though be careful not to trigger Reactance by pre-selecting defaults that are seen as too expensive.
Conversion
Authority
We have a strong tendency to comply with those in charge
153 New York pedestrians were approached by someone dressed as either a civilian, a milkman or a police officer and were asked to help out a stranger by covering the cost of his / her parked car ticket.
The more authoritarian the uniform, the higher the chance they’d give the money. The civilian succeeded only 33% of the time, whereas the police officer managed 89%.
Determine an authority figure with relative expertise in relation to the group and behavior you’re looking to influence.
Ensure that the individual is credible and trustworthy.
Communicate their authority clearly.
For instance, using authority indicators like “Doctor,” “Judge,” “Award-winning” etc. Complementing this with a suitably-dressed photo of said individual will make any request much more effective.
Add a quotation too to bolster the effect, along with any extra reputational labels they might have (e.g. academic background, specialisms, career duration etc).
Compliance varies depending on demographics.
Older people are more compliant than younger people, for instance. For the young, use culturally-relevant aspirational models to mask authority whilst also nudging desired behavior.
Groups
In-Group Bias
We tend to favour our group over others
48 teenagers were divided into 2 groups based on expressing a preference for a painting. They were then told to anonymously award money to other participants involved in the study.
The results demonstrated that when given a choice between maximising profit for all groups and maximising profit for their own group, they chose the latter.
In-Group favouritism can take many forms.
For instance, designers might feel they are the out-group in a meeting dominated by engineers, creating a sense that they're either not as welcomed or have opinions that aren't as valued. Who might be feeling excluded in your projects and meetings?
Turn “Us vs Them” into “We”.
Broaden the perception of group boundaries by cooperating with the out-group in shared activities (Gaertner et al., 1990). Which situations can you create that promote collaboration?
Actively use the benefits of your outgroup.
We tend to evaluate the work of our own group as better and more creative than it really is. However, by enlisting the aid of an out-group, you may have an accurate assessment of the actual creative value (Adarves‐Yorno, 2008).
Be careful with unconscious bias.
Groups can be formed by meaningless reasons but also by our own pre-conceived notions or bias. What might be some of the reasons you or others use to place someone in an out-group? How might you raise this in a way to bring disconnected groups together?
Loyalty
Reciprocity
We’re hardwired to return kindness received
We call Reciprocity the glue that binds us as a society.
No surprise then that it’s a powerful tool to help people make decisions that are both pro-social and a win-win.
When the Behavioural Insights Team were asked by the UK Government to increase the rates of job-seekers turning up to interviews, they applied the principle of Reciprocity to boost rates.
They changed the text message being sent out from:
“You’ve been booked an interview at Tesco on Friday at 10am”
to:
“Dave,
I’ve booked you an interview at Tesco on Friday at 10am.
Good luck.
Roxy”
This shift from a passive tone of voice to an active tone, where Roxy had done something kind for you (and you then wanted to reciprocate by turning up), increased attendance from 10% up to a whopping 27%.
We call Reciprocity the glue that binds us as a society.
No surprise then that it’s a powerful tool to help people make decisions that are both pro-social and a win-win.
When the Behavioural Insights Team were asked by the UK Government to increase the rates of job-seekers turning up to interviews, they applied the principle of Reciprocity to boost rates.
They changed the text message being sent out from:
“You’ve been booked an interview at Tesco on Friday at 10am”
to:
“Dave,
I’ve booked you an interview at Tesco on Friday at 10am.
Good luck.
Roxy”
This shift from a passive tone of voice to an active tone, where Roxy had done something kind for you (and you then wanted to reciprocate by turning up), increased attendance from 10% up to a whopping 27%.
407 pedestrians in Brittany, France were approached by a young woman and asked to complete a survey. Before the request, half were offered candy and the other half were not.
The results found that people - especially women - were far more likely to reciprocate and answer the survey after receiving a gift than when not.
Act first.
Find ways to initiate reciprocity with consumers. Merely asking those satisfied to go tell their friends will work (Söderlund et al., 2015).
Make it a ‘common habit’.
When we’re told that a behavior is a social norm shared by others, we’re more likely to reciprocate. Households in USA and India consume significantly less electricity when told that their neighbors are consuming less (Sudarshan, 2014). In the long-term, any consistent, successful behaviors will be adopted as the default for others.
Do it in person.
Reciprocation appears to be more powerful when requests from strangers are made face to face rather than online. This is due to the persuasive impact of immediacy that physicality affords, the higher levels of digital suspicion and the sheer number of emails people receive (Meier, 2016).
Experience
Prospect Theory
A loss hurts more than an equal gain feels good
You’re walking down the street. Consider two realities:
A: You unexpectedly find $10 in your pocket.
You feel positively-surprised!
Or:
B: You left the house with $10 in your pocket.
But you reach in and it’s gone.
The pain you feel from its loss is greater than the good feeling of finding it.
Prospect Theory explains that our perceptions of value differ based on how something is framed, and losing things feels worse than getting them feels good.
As one of the grand concepts that underpinned a lot of the early ideas within behavioral science, Prospect Theory is a beast with many aspects to it, such as Loss Aversion, Framing, Certainty, and Risk.
But for now, take your practical understanding a step further by reading the Aggregation Effect and Segregation Effect Nuggets.
You’re walking down the street. Consider two realities:
A: You unexpectedly find $10 in your pocket.
You feel positively-surprised!
Or:
B: You left the house with $10 in your pocket.
But you reach in and it’s gone.
The pain you feel from its loss is greater than the good feeling of finding it.
Prospect Theory explains that our perceptions of value differ based on how something is framed, and losing things feels worse than getting them feels good.
As one of the grand concepts that underpinned a lot of the early ideas within behavioral science, Prospect Theory is a beast with many aspects to it, such as Loss Aversion, Framing, Certainty, and Risk.
But for now, take your practical understanding a step further by reading the Aggregation Effect and Segregation Effect Nuggets.
Prospect theory is explained with a graph. Negative losses and positive gains recorded on the horizontal are set against a vertical intensity of feeling for those losses or gains.
As we gain more, we feel less for each gain. In contrast, even a small pain (shown in red) feels a lot more negative than an equal-sized gain feels good.
Package pain. Consumers will feel less overall pain from any costs incurred when you package and deliver them all together rather than when they're felt as separate, smaller pains.
Spread out rewards.
Instead of offering larger, chunkier benefits to consumers, break these down into smaller pieces, spreading them out across time.
$10 given 4 times feels more valuable overall than $40 given once.
Offer mixed product bundles.
We feel less good with each thing we consume. Therefore, the first can of soda tastes better than the fourth.
This means we'd get more complimentary value from a bag of chips instead.
Look for ways to offer relevant, mixed product bundles to offset diminishing consumer sensitivity.
Conversion
Scarcity
We value things more when they’re in limited supply
There’s a reason this Nugget is #1 in our library.
The concept of Scarcity lies at the core of economics, and greatly influences perceptions of value, status and our competitive desire to attain certain items over others.
Unfortunately, it's also one of the more poorly-applied concepts out there, along with Defaults and Loss Aversion.
Mastering quantity scarcity
An airline stating that there's
“Only 3 seats left” may well be using accurate data and not simply using faux-scarcity to artificially suggest that there's less supply of seats than there actually is.
However, from the user's perspective, the buildup of mistrust around the use of scarcity means cynicism is higher, so one must be careful with information presented.
Similarly, hotel websites telling you that “30 other people are looking at this item” engineer stress to compel people into action without changing supply yet highlighting demand in a manipulative way.
Instead, use quantity scarcity to focus on the craft and high quality of what you're selling.
Make your scarcity feel valuable, not stressful.
Mastering time scarcity
Ensure that any time restriction is highlighted primarily for the purpose of maintaining the quality of your product or service, and not merely to cause stress that could be avoided.
As an example, use time scarcity to launch unique or experimental products that are only available within a particular window (say a week, month or season).
This use of time scarcity is positive and encourages brand exploration, used creatively to highlight your unique value.
There’s a reason this Nugget is #1 in our library.
The concept of Scarcity lies at the core of economics, and greatly influences perceptions of value, status and our competitive desire to attain certain items over others.
Unfortunately, it's also one of the more poorly-applied concepts out there, along with Defaults and Loss Aversion.
Mastering quantity scarcity
An airline stating that there's
“Only 3 seats left” may well be using accurate data and not simply using faux-scarcity to artificially suggest that there's less supply of seats than there actually is.
However, from the user's perspective, the buildup of mistrust around the use of scarcity means cynicism is higher, so one must be careful with information presented.
Similarly, hotel websites telling you that “30 other people are looking at this item” engineer stress to compel people into action without changing supply yet highlighting demand in a manipulative way.
Instead, use quantity scarcity to focus on the craft and high quality of what you're selling.
Make your scarcity feel valuable, not stressful.
Mastering time scarcity
Ensure that any time restriction is highlighted primarily for the purpose of maintaining the quality of your product or service, and not merely to cause stress that could be avoided.
As an example, use time scarcity to launch unique or experimental products that are only available within a particular window (say a week, month or season).
This use of time scarcity is positive and encourages brand exploration, used creatively to highlight your unique value.
146 people were asked to rate identical cookies that were either presented in a jar as scarce or in abundance. They were then asked how likely they would be to want to eat a further cookie.
When scarce, the cookies were rated as more desirable and having a higher value. They were also seen as more valuable when going from an abundant state to scarce than when always scarce.
Scarcity comes in 4 flavors:
Quantity, Time, Access & Rarity.
Control quantity.
To increase perceived value of your product, release it in smaller and diminishing quantities, emphasizing its finite nature.
Restrict time.
When the clock is ticking and we’re overwhelmed, we take mental shortcuts that speed up decision-making.
Motivate customers by emphasizing the limited time remaining in which to act.
Limit access.
Restricting access to your products or services will increase desire and perceived value. Do this selectively for certain features and / or customer segments.
For instance, you might want to design valuable, unique rewards that are only unlocked for very special efforts on the part of the customer.
Conversion
Reactance
We’ll do the opposite from what we’re asked if we’re pushed too hard
84 people were shown an ad for a known clothing brand that they either had an existing loyalty to or not, written either assertively or not. Based upon the ad, they were then asked how much from a $25 gift card they'd spend.
People spent less money after viewing an assertive ad next to a non-assertive ad, especially when loyal.
Don’t misuse behavioural principles.
We've seen a rising use of faux-scarcity to create an uneasy sense of urgency as well as an aggressive use of Defaults that aren't in customers' best interests. Such applications turn positive activities, like booking a holiday into ones riddled with stress.
Give some control (Miller et al., 2007).
Having a feeling of choice can reduce feelings that our freedoms are being taken away. Mix Autonomy with Certainty by reminding of the inevitability ahead while granting other areas where you can give back control in meaningful ways.
Give lots of warning up-front
If you're planning a big change that will clearly trigger reactance (Richards and Banas, 2015), giving time for the news to sink in, let people familiarise themselves with the new, uncomfortable normal will then reduce reactance when the change does come about.
Conversion
Salience
Our choices are determined by the information we're shown
What info we decide to surface visually has a powerful effect on peoples’ decisions. The same is also true for what we choose to hide.
For instance, if I wanted to design a work environment where people ate more fruit, I could buy bananas and apples but store them in the fridge, out of view.
But this would have what we call “low salience”, or a low likelihood of being seen.
Instead, to boost fruit consumption further, we’d want to increase Salience.
So now, instead of hiding the fruit in the fridge, we put it in large colourful bowls in central, highly visible areas of the office in eye line and within arm’s reach.
Now the fruit have “high salience” and are much more likely to be eaten.
Note that this also has second order effects; more salience from the fruit bowls means more people eating fruit, creating a powerful salience cycle.
What do you want people to do more or be more aware of? How can you increase its salience next to other things?
Another strategy is to remove other things around it to increase salience in relative terms. So in the fruit example, we might want to remove the coffee machine to give the bowls greater salience.
What info we decide to surface visually has a powerful effect on peoples’ decisions. The same is also true for what we choose to hide.
For instance, if I wanted to design a work environment where people ate more fruit, I could buy bananas and apples but store them in the fridge, out of view.
But this would have what we call “low salience”, or a low likelihood of being seen.
Instead, to boost fruit consumption further, we’d want to increase Salience.
So now, instead of hiding the fruit in the fridge, we put it in large colourful bowls in central, highly visible areas of the office in eye line and within arm’s reach.
Now the fruit have “high salience” and are much more likely to be eaten.
Note that this also has second order effects; more salience from the fruit bowls means more people eating fruit, creating a powerful salience cycle.
What do you want people to do more or be more aware of? How can you increase its salience next to other things?
Another strategy is to remove other things around it to increase salience in relative terms. So in the fruit example, we might want to remove the coffee machine to give the bowls greater salience.
Over 10 days, millions of people using online ticket marketplace Stubhub were put into two groups, where 15% ticket fees were either made salient up front during ticket browsing, or hidden until checkout.
Results found that for those with delayed salience of the fee, revenue increased by 21%, with a quarter of this due to higher priced tickets being bought.
What is seen is what is done
Surfacing key information in a timely fashion can prompt us to do more of what we aspire to. For instance, Amazon have redesigned their Kindle so that when it's not in use, the screensaver becomes the cover of the book you're currently reading. This acts as a salient reminder to read as one notices the Kindle throughout the day. We can use the same approach to boost healthy eating, having a bowl of fruit on the kitchen table over one filled with salty cashews. What do you want users to do more of? How do you want them to feel? What unique or delightful features can you surface that will help inspire action and make Tiny Habits that much more likely to form?
More knowledge isn't necessarily better
There's a trade-off between what's presented to us now and making good decisions for our future. For instance, cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase choose to omit the % gained or lost from one's investments. Research shows that if they instead showed this, people may incorrectly sell coins that have increased in value, while keeping coins that have dropped in value, known as the Disposition Effect.
Differentiate by removing information
Whereas knowledge can be power, it can also demotivate. For example, weight loss scales Shapa does away with the number telling you how much you weigh, instead providing 5 colour bands denoting averaged performance. Omitting the number shifts us away from short term fluctuations in weight that can lead to feelings of failure causing us to give up. What information or options could you hide that could otherwise lead users to short term or harmful outcomes? What can you remove that could confuse or overwhelm?
Delayed salience can trigger shock
Also consider the ethical implications of hiding key information, as in the study above. In this case, any reactance felt will be relative to the proportion of the extra fees incurred, customer expectations, industry norms and how frequent the transaction is. Hidden fees on more regular transactions like grocery shopping will be subject to higher levels of reactance than one-offs like a car purchase. There is an art to surfacing such painful information at the correct time in order to generate a sale. Try adding an explanation of why the fee exists to reduce drop-off, like Airbnb do.
Conversion
Status Quo Bias
We tend to stick with our previous choices, even if the alternatives might be better
850,000 teachers' retirement plans were assessed. Each teacher's main decision was to divide their pension between two funds: one low risk (bonds) and one high risk (stocks). They could switch between the two at no cost.
Results found that despite the massive differences in rates of return between the two funds, only 20% ever switched from their initial fund allocation.
What's the status quo in your situation?
Build a strategy around identifying and removing the practical and emotional switching costs that are preventing change.
Make it exciting!
It isn't enough to just remove the barriers. Offer a Contrasting view of the net gain of the change, painting a clear, positive picture with a personalized Goal Prime showing them how their life will be better.
Make it effortless.
Use Foot In The Door with a Tiny Habit to help users take the first positive step.
Identify and work with a group of 'change-makers'; those with some Authority who are most ready to adopt and embrace change.
Share their positive Stories with others more averse.
Check your Defaults.
You’re setting them everywhere, sometimes without thinking. These strongly influence the status quo. What new behavioral goal are you looking to foster in your users? Update your defaults to suit.