What we see first affects our judgement of everything thereafter
How we work out a fair price and ultimately what to choose is greatly dictated by the first piece of information we see.
Tversky, A.; Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases. Science 185 (4157): 1124–1131.
Impact
The study
The studies
Participants were asked to quickly estimate - within 5 seconds - the answer to one of two same calculations, anchored either low or high.
Those with the low anchor guessed 512 on average, whereas the high guessed a much higher 2,250. The correct answer was 40,320.
Participants were asked to quickly estimate - within 5 seconds - the answer to one of two same calculations, anchored either low or high.
Those with the low anchor guessed 512 on average, whereas the high guessed a much higher 2,250. The correct answer was 40,320.
Tversky, A.; Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases. Science 185 (4157): 1124–1131.
During decision making, anchoring occurs when individuals use an initial piece of information to make subsequent judgments.
Once an anchor is set, other judgements are made by adjusting away from that anchor, and there is a bias toward interpreting other information around the anchor.
For example, the initial price offered for a used car sets the standard for the rest of the negotiations, so that prices lower than the initial price seem more reasonable, even if they're still higher than what the car is really worth.
Studies have shown that anchoring is very difficult to avoid.
For example, in one study students were given anchors that were obviously wrong. They were asked whether Mahatma Gandhi died before or after age 9, or before or after age 140.
Clearly neither of these anchors are correct, but the two groups still guessed significantly differently (choosing an average age of 50 vs. an average age of 67).
Jerome's Expert View
Key Takeaways
Put the highest price first
This will make subsequent prices appear cheaper in comparison and increase sales.
For instance, on the wine list shown, instead of putting the expensive items at the foot of the list, rearrange them in descending price.
Alternatively, if higher, show your competitors' prices first before revealing your comparative value.
Don’t set your anchor price too high
If you do, the natural inclination to anchor other options against this price will diminish.
Be realistic. Keep it within an appropriate region of your other prices in order for your anchors to be effective.
Audience matters.
Anchoring effects weaken for those with higher cognitive ability (Bergman et al., 2010) and those with prior product-buying experience (Alevy et al., 2011).
Boundary conditions
Future questions
What we see first affects our judgement of everything thereafter
How we work out a fair price and ultimately what to choose is greatly dictated by the first piece of information we see.
Tversky, A.; Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases. Science 185 (4157): 1124–1131.
The study
Impact
The study
The studies
Participants were asked to quickly estimate - within 5 seconds - the answer to one of two same calculations, anchored either low or high.
Those with the low anchor guessed 512 on average, whereas the high guessed a much higher 2,250. The correct answer was 40,320.
Participants were asked to quickly estimate - within 5 seconds - the answer to one of two same calculations, anchored either low or high.
Those with the low anchor guessed 512 on average, whereas the high guessed a much higher 2,250. The correct answer was 40,320.
Jerome's Expert View
Key Takeaways
Put the highest price first
This will make subsequent prices appear cheaper in comparison and increase sales.
For instance, on the wine list shown, instead of putting the expensive items at the foot of the list, rearrange them in descending price.
Alternatively, if higher, show your competitors' prices first before revealing your comparative value.
Don’t set your anchor price too high
If you do, the natural inclination to anchor other options against this price will diminish.
Be realistic. Keep it within an appropriate region of your other prices in order for your anchors to be effective.
Audience matters.
Anchoring effects weaken for those with higher cognitive ability (Bergman et al., 2010) and those with prior product-buying experience (Alevy et al., 2011).
Boundary conditions
Future questions
Tversky, A.; Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases. Science 185 (4157): 1124–1131.
During decision making, anchoring occurs when individuals use an initial piece of information to make subsequent judgments.
Once an anchor is set, other judgements are made by adjusting away from that anchor, and there is a bias toward interpreting other information around the anchor.
For example, the initial price offered for a used car sets the standard for the rest of the negotiations, so that prices lower than the initial price seem more reasonable, even if they're still higher than what the car is really worth.
Studies have shown that anchoring is very difficult to avoid.
For example, in one study students were given anchors that were obviously wrong. They were asked whether Mahatma Gandhi died before or after age 9, or before or after age 140.
Clearly neither of these anchors are correct, but the two groups still guessed significantly differently (choosing an average age of 50 vs. an average age of 67).
What we see first affects our judgement of everything thereafter
How we work out a fair price and ultimately what to choose is greatly dictated by the first piece of information we see.
The study
Participants were asked to quickly estimate - within 5 seconds - the answer to one of two same calculations, anchored either low or high.
Those with the low anchor guessed 512 on average, whereas the high guessed a much higher 2,250. The correct answer was 40,320.
Tversky, A.; Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases. Science 185 (4157): 1124–1131.
During decision making, anchoring occurs when individuals use an initial piece of information to make subsequent judgments.
Once an anchor is set, other judgements are made by adjusting away from that anchor, and there is a bias toward interpreting other information around the anchor.
For example, the initial price offered for a used car sets the standard for the rest of the negotiations, so that prices lower than the initial price seem more reasonable, even if they're still higher than what the car is really worth.
Studies have shown that anchoring is very difficult to avoid.
For example, in one study students were given anchors that were obviously wrong. They were asked whether Mahatma Gandhi died before or after age 9, or before or after age 140.
Clearly neither of these anchors are correct, but the two groups still guessed significantly differently (choosing an average age of 50 vs. an average age of 67).
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Read moreScarcity
We value things more when they’re in limited supply
Social Proof
We copy the behaviors of others, especially in unfamiliar situations
Prospect Theory
A loss hurts more than an equal gain feels good
Reciprocity
We’re hardwired to return kindness received
Framing
We make very different decisions based on how a fact is presented
Loss Aversion
We feel more negative when losing something than positive when we get it
Self-Expression
We constantly seek out ways to communicate our identity to others
Default Effect
We tend to accept the option pre-chosen for us
Priming
Our decisions are shaped by memories recalled from things just seen or heard
Anchoring
What we see first affects our judgement of everything thereafter
Scarcity
We value things more when they’re in limited supply
Social Proof
We copy the behaviors of others, especially in unfamiliar situations
Prospect Theory
A loss hurts more than an equal gain feels good
Reciprocity
We’re hardwired to return kindness received
Framing
We make very different decisions based on how a fact is presented
Loss Aversion
We feel more negative when losing something than positive when we get it
Self-Expression
We constantly seek out ways to communicate our identity to others
Default Effect
We tend to accept the option pre-chosen for us
Priming
Our decisions are shaped by memories recalled from things just seen or heard
Anchoring
What we see first affects our judgement of everything thereafter